Money or History: Mayweather’s Showtime deal will define him

Floyd Mayweather Jr.’s jump Tuesday from HBO to Showtime and parent network CBS is a move that will reveal whether he’s more about money or his place in history.

There’s still a lot we don’t know about the deal, but it’s safe to say it will further enrich the fighter with a nickname, Money, that thus far defines him. Forbes is reporting that the 30-month contract could be worth $250 million if he fights as many as six times. On Forbes’ last annual list of top-earning athletes, Mayweather was No.1 with $85 million for two fights – victories over Victor Ortiz and Miguel Cotto.

Barring a string of undisclosed losses at Vegas books, Mayweather doesn’t need the money. What he does need, however, are fights that will substantiate his claim on being the best ever, better than even Sugar Ray Robinson, Muhammad Ali, Joe Louis and Sugar Ray Leonard.

According to several reports, the contract includes a Showtime guarantee of Mayweather’s purses, no matter what the pay-per-view numbers are. It’s not clear if that guarantee is for the full amount, or a percentage. Six fights over the next two-and-a-half years also look unlikely. Mayweather has fought only four times over the last five years. But let’s say he does. And let’s say Showtime guarantees 100 percent of each purse. That’s about $41.66 million-a-fight.

Given Mayweather’s history, there’s danger in that kind of an agreement. He’s a counter puncher in the ring and by nature. Other than NBA and NFL wagers, he’s not known for taking chances. The smallest risk for the biggest reward has always been Mayweather’s formula. With a guarantee already in his pocket, it would be his nature — and human nature — to just protect his undefeated record (43-0, 26 KOs) against opponents who aren’t much of a threat.

If he fights all six times and wins each, he could end the Showtime deal with a victory that equals Rocky Marciano’s 49-0 record. Then, there’s the chance at history, 50-0, and a new network deal as rich, or richer, than the current one.

A lot can, and will, happen between now and then. There’s potential injury. There’s age. Mayweather turns 36 on Sunday. He’ll be 38 when the Showtime contract expires. In his last bout, a unanimous decision over Cotto in May, Mayweather looked as if he had lost some foot speed. The fading Cotto landed punches that left swelling and bruises on a Mayweather face that usually emerges unmarked.

If Mayweather is serious about making history, the damage done by Cotto is a sign that now is the time for him to do it. His Showtime contract opens on May 4 against Robert Guerrero at Las Vegas’ MGM Grand. The surprising Guerrero has turned himself into a credible opponent, but not one with much of a chance against Mayweather. Book makers give him no chance at all. Opening odds against Guerrero were about 11-to-1. History will remember this one only if Guerrero wins.

But we’ll give Mayweather a pass. After a long layoff and nearly three months in jail for domestic abuse, a tune-up is reasonable, especially against somebody as tough and resourceful as Guerrero. Then, however, the test of whether he’s in it for money or history will begin to unfold and ultimately be determined by whom he fights. His career has been built on a record that lacks the rivalries and comebacks that created a Robinson, Ali, Louis and Leonard. All of them encountered adversity and defeat, but each came back in a way that cemented their place among the legends.

A new deal offers Mayweather five chances to cement his own.

Here are the five:

Sergio Martinez. The middleweight champion has said he’s willing to fight Mayweather at 154 pounds. But Mayweather likes to brag that, from 140 to 160 pounds, he can beat anybody. At 160, Mayweather would have a chance to do exactly that.

Manny Pacquiao. Please, already. We’ve been talking about it ad nauseam. Even if Pacquiao’s best is behind him, the fight needs to happen. If it doesn’t, a hole in the Mayweather resume will always be there.

Canelo Alvarez. There’s talk that Mayweather-Alvarez will happen in September. For Mayweather, the sooner, the better. Mayweather’s eroding foot speed might leave him vulnerable to effective combinations from the young Alvarez, who is only going to get better.

Brandon Rios. Mayweather has avoided fighters who are tougher than they are talented. Rios loves to take two, three, four and five punches just to throw one. It’s a dangerous exchange. But there’s no history without one.

Gennady Golovkin. Golovkin needs more name recognition. At least, that’s the theory. During the last year, the middleweight from Kazakhstan has been getting more and more media attention. At least, we know how to spell his last name, even if Martinez promoter Lou DiBella doesn’t want to hear it. For now Golovkin falls into the “Most Avoided” category. That means he’s feared, which also means he’s somebody Mayweather should fight.

But it all depends on what he does with that Showtime contract. Pose, bet and brag about it? Or invest it in a legacy?